Global Warming Fails To Deliver, Again

To get you referenced, here is a plot of actual monthly temperatures and the trends from the Hadley global data set (HADCRUT3v) and University of Alabama satellite derived lower tropospheric temperatures covering the same period as the robots measured ocean heat content. Like the robots this shows a downtrend (cooling).

Remember as you read, this is NPR where agenda trumps accuracy everytime.

To the soothsayers and prophets of doom, who have been wrong about so many things so many times that the count can't be totalled, add global warming to the stack. NPR no less, has the story that the oceans are cooling, not warming, despite the computer models prediction otherwise.

Some 3,000 scientific robots that are plying the ocean have sent home a puzzling message. These diving instruments suggest that the oceans have not warmed up at all over the past four or five years. That could mean global warming has taken a breather. Or it could mean scientists aren't quite understanding what their robots are telling them.

This is puzzling in part because here on the surface of the Earth, the years since 2003 have been some of the hottest on record. But Josh Willis at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory says the oceans are what really matter when it comes to global warming.

It's only puzzling to those who believe in the hoax, but to science it is easy to understand. Now that the data has been corrected, the Earth has been cooling moderately for the past 10 years, and more suddenly in the last 2 years.

In fact, 80 percent to 90 percent of global warming involves heating up ocean waters. They hold much more heat than the atmosphere can. So Willis has been studying the ocean with a fleet of robotic instruments called the Argo system. The buoys can dive 3,000 feet down and measure ocean temperature. Since the system was fully deployed in 2003, it has recorded no warming of the global oceans.

"There has been a very slight cooling, but not anything really significant," Willis says. So the buildup of heat on Earth may be on a brief hiatus. "Global warming doesn't mean every year will be warmer than the last. And it may be that we are in a period of less rapid warming."

In recent years, heat has actually been flowing out of the ocean and into the air. This is a feature of the weather phenomenon known as El Nino. So it is indeed possible the air has warmed but the ocean has not. But it's also possible that something more mysterious is going on.

Searching for a thought at the church are we? Maybe it's because the sun's magnetic field has now gone on holiday and the sunspots have all but disappeared? To the believers at the alGore church of global warming, couldn;t possibly be the sun that is doing it. They won't allow that heresy.

"But in fact there's a little bit of a mystery. We can't account for all of the sea level increase we've seen over the last three or four years," he says.

One possibility is that the sea has, in fact, warmed and expanded — and scientists are somehow misinterpreting the data from the diving buoys.

But if the aquatic robots are actually telling the right story, that raises a new question: Where is the extra heat all going?

The robots are broke, I knew it had to be simple. And the last paragraph ...

Trenberth and Willis agree that a few mild years have no effect on the long-term trend of global warming. But they say there are still things to learn about how our planet copes with the heat.

For those of us who are chasing the science and staying out of the church, the failure of multiple doom and gloom scenarios has made us keen to spot the next liberal hoax. Ever wonder why there is an ideological divide on global warming? But I digress.

Here are the facts, the modern maximum appears to be coming to a close, the sun signalled a change back in October 2005 when the Geomagnetic Average Planetary Index dropped. The fact the ocean waters are showing a cooling actually supports the theory we are headed for a down turn in global temperature due to lower than normal solar-sunspot activity. The facts that the evidence of global warming has gone missing is a liberal problem, not connected to science. How to explain all those models can't predict what is happening a few years out, that is the question, isn't it. Might it be the computer models don't do anything but generate pretty curves for liberals and government grant chasers to swoon over?

The ARGO robots in the story have their own short video here.

Here is the cute little HROV robot, they operate tethered or untethered.


It's too bad science has become political, it's not good for anyone.

Something to ponder, why is the r2 of CO2 to temperature close to zero, and the r2 of temperature to solar activity close to 0.8? There is a clue in there someplace.

Want a good book, this is one I would recommend. Man's knowledge of the universe continues to advance. Thank the computer engineers :-)