Thursday, October 16, 2008

David Archibald’s Elegant Illustration Of How Late And Weak Solar Cycle 24 Is Proving

This video features David Archibald presenting his data on global warming. Below, after the video, is more on his data, and how the Aerospace Forum Asia handled Archibald's science at the end of a speech he gave in Hong Kong - where the conference was designed to:





At the end of Archibald's speech the President, of Aerospace Forum Asia, took the microphone and asked:
How can you be right and 2,000 scientists wrong?
Archibald's answer:
I am happy to share the science. It's all reputable.



David Archibald's explanation
of the above graphic is as follows:

There is another way of looking at solar cycles.

Solar cycles actually start with the magnetic reversal near the peak of the previous cycle. The sunspots take seven years to surface and become visible. Almost all sunspot cycles tend to be about 18.5 years long, measured from the peak of the previous cycle.

The above graph compares the average of three cycles, 21 to 23, from the late 20th century with three, 14 to 16, from the late 19th century (which had much colder weather). Also included is Solar Cycle 5, the first half of the Dalton Minimum.

Given we are now 103 months from the peak of Solar Cycle 23, it is now too late to get a late 19th century-type outcome for Solar Cycle 24. Out of the 24 named solar cycles, Solar Cycle 24 is now the latest after Solar Cycle 5.

It is so late that it is now in no man’s land and its weakness is now more of a consideration than lateness in itself.

It is certain that we will be getting a Dalton Minimum-type experience.
David Archibald

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